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Darryl Mcleod

Fordham Department of Economics

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ECON3235F2017

Economics of Latin America ECON 3235 112 Dealy

Please check the course course calendar  frequently, hit refresh  Here is the syllabus  

Revised Social Innovation Lecture 6: CCTs who did what first?   Cuba’s Reintegration 

Final Review Sheet Version 2  

New NBER paper on Refugees…. 

HW#5v1&2  #7 PDFs  (HW#5v2 or HW 5v1 due on BB by Nov 17th)  MDP in Bolivia  Multi-Dimensional Poverty in Mexico

Case Study Guidelines    U.N. Climate Projects, Aimed at the Poorest, Raise Red Flags

Here is $2 and $4/day poverty data spreadsheet)

Lima Presentation 2012&2014   Four Crises in Microfinance   Ananya Roy, Poverty Capital Chapt 1    Ricardo Hausmann, To Profit or Not to Profit?    PBS Compartamos video

Compartamos Evaluation

Nora Lustig, May 2017 Barcelona presentation  Dynamics of inequality in Latin America

 María Cristina Osorio Vázquez on Understanding Mayan girls’ education Brookings Eschidna Global Scholars Series, Monday, Nov 6, 2017  Bolivia Record low coca crop

Social Innovation in Latin America    Honduras HW#5v1 (thank you Pauline)

See Brazil BF video: catching Hope      Mexico a model for the world?     PBS Now Whose making money from Microcredit?

CCTs in Colombia    Colombia Financial Inclusion via Ipad App    2014 Skoll Award  

Migration and natural disasters in LAC:   My Haiti Case Study ( 2012 Version)  Otexa 2017 (Honduras and Mexico) 

Elephant Diagram Slides     The Rise of the global middle class (in Mexico especially)   Latest LAC Estimates

Inequality and the rise of the Middle Class in Latin America  $4/day   $4-10/day  $10 to $50 per day  Most recent estimates

Baldwin GVC Lecture… Mexico is as China is to Japan and Poland is to Germany but  NAFTA may collapse

Brazil’s new middle class: Havan Video Simon Romero, NY Times..            UNDP Global Poverty Estimates

Case Studies: Chile Dana Nelson;  Cuba/DR: Nicholas Dibartolo Puerto Rico; JJ Meador, Brianna Horan, Melky Kunar; Honduras Pauline Laforcade; Argentina: Phillip Le Clair;  Guatemala: Nicholas Nicollia; Bolivia Bryan Dufour; Brazil: Kristen Kinneary & Eric Gutierrez; Melissa Mooney; Mexico: Julianna LoPriore and Selena Casas

Development without Industrialization? Dani Rodrik  but Puerto Rico does have Manufactured exports

Here is the HW#1 Template with WEO October 2017 data for Bolivia and Ecuador, as discussed in class and in A&W questions 4&5 page 171.

NAFTA: She lost her steelworkers job to Mexico  and trained her replacement parallels to the Container Revolution and Longshoremen’s union globalization victory..

but less powerful union, no safety-net union workers lost their $25/hour job  Are U.S. Manufacturing Jobs now in Mexico? Ricardo Hausmann

Notes and newsworthy: Election Problems in Argentina? 

Michel Bachelet is in “Still Rising” Skoll-TED-UN video of Maya Angelou’s poem  published September 21st  Becoming a Steelworker Liberated Her. Then Her Job Moved to Mexico. https://nyti.ms/2z6Tai1

Case Studies Cuba!! ECLAC (CEPAL) Economic Survey of Latin America and the Caribbean 2017: Dynamics of the current economic cycle and policy challenges for boosting investment and growth

Class handouts: Alternative Disinflation Programs in LatAm     (pptx)  Ending high inflation in Latin American 

Nice IMF blog entry on unequal impact of climate change (on PR for example),         IMF on Corruption in Latin America

Puerto Rico:  Brookings: What can be done about PR’s Fiscal Crisis?  Washington Post: Why is this Hurricane Season so bad?

Chile: Nice Wilson Center presentation by **Sebastián Piñera Chilean Presidential Candidate (works in Firefox if you temporarily enable Adobe extensions)

A Damaged Brand: Birdsall, Nancy, Augusto De la Torre, and Felipe Valencia Caicedo. “The Washington consensus: assessing a damaged brand.” (2010).

Practice Quiz #2   (google quiz)  Debt Relief & two Laffer curves 

Lecture Topics:  External Adjustment Models: Elasticities and TNT Models;  How can countries make shock treatment obsolete:  they can “graduate” to pro-cyclical fiscal policy, not forced to counter adverse shocks with “austerity” Financial Markets and commodity price shocks still a problem: McKinsey Inclusive Financial Globalization How to avoid Shock Treatment?   Export diversification should help but have not (except NAFTA)  Readings  Sachs and Larraine, Chapter 21  Chapter 21 to page 663  Flexible Exchange rate: Mexico’s best Defense…

September 11th: History of Chile and Populism reminds us Latin America has a long history of crises followed by “shock treatment” Globalization and 9-11 (also date of Chile’s coup…) Commanding Heights: the Agony of Reform  Commanding Heights Opening Minutes (skip ads)  Transcript (Chile starts at 21:42 (shock treatment at 28 mins Friedman “dog’s tail” and who in Bolivia’s “single bullet” metaphor starts at 48:55 click to open (Sachs prescribes shock treatment for Bolivia, compare leaders during 1980s to Evo Morales and MAS…)

The Great Convergence  (Richard Baldwin see NAFTA slide)

Equator Prize Celebration: Sunday Sept 17th, 7pm extra credit event* Fordham is the only Academic Affiliate of the Equator Initiative, part of UNDP…*Write up a 1-2 page Summary of Latin American winners (past or present) This group should wind the equator prize, Nopales are perfect climate change adaptation MENA Nopales Cooperative

Special Topics:   Puerto Rico   Garment Exports Immigration   Northern Triangle Child Migration   Venezuela Crisis

Homeworks: Here is HW#1 Questions pdf version (see Blackboard for word template) Latest LatAm Populism Lecture Notes v4 

Dutch Disease Issue Page: Rentier States should adopt a Universal Basic Income (UBI)  Will the real populist please stand up?

Case Study Data:  USDA ERS Exchange Rate Data  Penn World Tables Peers (PWT)  Here are the Class Notes on DACA, DAPA and NAFTA (soon to be slides…)   2012 Lecture Notes

Videos and podcast useful for Populism Lecture v4 pdf

Use this IMDB page for South of the Border videos, all about one minute except the trailer which is two minutes.  Sebastian Edwards excerpt from Chapter 1 (11 page)

Visual Politics Mexico-NAFTA   

Course related Videos and podcasts

 

**Sebastián Piñera Echenique was President of Chile from 2010 to 2014.  He is currently the frontrunner in Chile’s upcoming presidential election, to be held on November 19, 2017.  Piñera is supported by a coalition of conservative and center-right political parties, called Chile Vamos.  Before becoming president, he was a successful entrepreneur and businessman with a broad portfolio of investments in banking, media, airlines, and sports. He was the first center-right candidate to win the presidency since Chile’s return to democracy.

Why has Chile stopped growing?NPR Podcast Planet Monday “The Phone at the end of the World”

The Agony of Reform in Chile and Bolivia (Commanding Heights Part 2)

 

UBS Under the Same Sun Americas Exhibit, 2014

Mexico: Compartamos Maria Hinojosa (try Firefox to view video)  Whose making money from Microcredit?
Many talking heads: Mary Small JRS and Shaina Aber on Refugees from the Iron Triangle

Commanding Heights: the Agony of Reform
(Chile starts at 21:42 Bolivia starts at 48:55 click to open in new tab)

Oliver Stone South of the Border Trailer (newer, shorter just over 2 minutes)

Oliver Stone South of the Border Trailer (old longer 4 minutes)

Guggenheim UBS Show, 2014 Under the Same Sun

Women’s World Bank and Banco ADOPEM’s “Contracorriente”- Financial Education Trailer

Chilean Student Protests Al Jazeera 20+ minutes
Brazil’s Havan Box Stores (NY Times 2013)

Two Latin Americas? Pacific Alliance vs. Mercosur

Please take this brief entry survey when you get a minute, thank you, Darryl McLeod

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